Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 1280.893249 1461.693753 1664.444114 1909.701574 2199.726359 2533.450191 2948.948766
2025-07-27 1024.009224 1263.874896 1559.830238 1956.319232 2480.414166 3159.193847 4120.976718
2025-08-03 880.210955 1144.227208 1491.549078 1990.864432 2705.358605 3714.899004 5294.053573
2025-08-10 792.834631 1074.367605 1464.469165 2058.997977 2968.839212 4355.414075 6725.420754
2025-08-17 713.358121 999.847707 1414.071523 2076.870107 3150.832439 4898.849797 8133.206838
2025-08-24 646.302022 932.287785 1361.168414 2077.181732 3297.654173 5405.914645 9604.379373
2025-08-31 592.950758 877.533764 1318.533928 2083.765384 3450.594651 5947.520637 11284.576784
2025-09-07 553.678853 839.278948 1295.714867 2117.397005 3652.898280 6616.508203 13418.326081
2025-09-14 502.164140 775.606553 1223.354442 2053.341810 3661.914680 6909.544831 14820.372822
2025-09-21 458.976713 721.153103 1160.127162 1996.214996 3672.843698 7205.683609 16321.275931
2025-09-28 420.200484 670.415555 1097.826866 1932.120469 3658.167989 7441.998889 17749.993247
2025-10-05 405.748442 659.813323 1104.791498 2000.694066 3929.450709 8379.823030 21404.511627
2025-10-12 383.761902 635.183143 1085.912640 2020.225553 4109.361969 9174.556452 25088.215741
2025-10-19 367.317366 619.150296 1081.660482 2070.096720 4370.827832 10254.623354 30244.016819
2025-10-26 350.899269 601.494268 1072.143938 2107.075798 4609.331794 11345.202834 36063.249591
2025-11-02 339.847362 592.726845 1078.806068 2180.035648 4951.885261 12836.841789 44342.647825
2025-11-09 324.172727 573.671165 1062.722300 2199.179387 5160.518720 14001.188781 52130.497615
2025-11-16 308.096845 552.440031 1039.966064 2199.513205 5319.350273 15064.649836 60295.929950
2025-11-23 294.012116 533.971393 1021.122496 2206.565884 5499.173154 16264.147466 70156.058723
2025-11-30 283.497426 521.798675 1014.456430 2242.598307 5771.588127 17893.558299 83898.720804
2025-12-07 265.452161 492.878501 968.702995 2173.977524 5716.597895 18298.383576 90903.196255
2025-12-14 249.438638 467.075586 927.715261 2112.804133 5674.274757 18747.932714 98740.094278
2025-12-21 234.117003 441.723868 885.731424 2044.198418 5596.709465 19039.548843 105921.010661